Forest disturbances under climate change
Identifieur interne : 000526 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 000525; suivant : 000527Forest disturbances under climate change
Auteurs : Rupert Seidl [Autriche] ; Dominik Thom [Autriche] ; Markus Kautz [Allemagne] ; Dario Martin-Benito [Suisse, Espagne] ; Mikko Peltoniemi [Finlande] ; Giorgio Vacchiano [Italie] ; Jan Wild [République tchèque] ; Davide Ascoli [Italie] ; Michal Petr [Royaume-Uni] ; Juha Honkaniemi [Finlande] ; Manfred J. Lexer [Autriche] ; Volodymyr Trotsiuk [République tchèque] ; Paola Mairota [Italie] ; Miroslav Svoboda [République tchèque] ; Marek Fabrika [Slovaquie] ; Thomas A. Nagel [République tchèque, Slovénie] ; Christopher P. O. Reyer [Allemagne]Source :
- Nature climate change [ 1758-678X ] ; 2017.
Abstract
Forest disturbances are sensitive to climate. However, our understanding of disturbance dynamics in response to climatic changes remains incomplete, particularly regarding large-scale patterns, interaction effects and dampening feedbacks. Here we provide a global synthesis of climate change effects on important abiotic (fire, drought, wind, snow and ice) and biotic (insects and pathogens) disturbance agents. Warmer and drier conditions particularly facilitate fire, drought and insect disturbances, while warmer and wetter conditions increase disturbances from wind and pathogens. Widespread interactions between agents are likely to amplify disturbances, while indirect climate effects such as vegetation changes can dampen long-term disturbance sensitivities to climate. Future changes in disturbance are likely to be most pronounced in coniferous forests and the boreal biome. We conclude that both ecosystems and society should be prepared for an increasingly disturbed future of forests.
Url:
DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3303
PubMed: 28861124
PubMed Central: 5572641
Affiliations:
- Allemagne, Autriche, Espagne, Finlande, Italie, Royaume-Uni, République tchèque, Slovaquie, Slovénie, Suisse
- Brandebourg, Communauté de Madrid, Vienne (Autriche)
- Potsdam, Vienne (Autriche)
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G. Masaryka 24, Zvolen 96053, Slovakia</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Slovaquie</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Forest Management and Geodesy, Technical University in Zvolen, T. G. Masaryka 24, Zvolen 96053</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Zvolen 96053</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Nagel, Thomas A" sort="Nagel, Thomas A" uniqKey="Nagel T" first="Thomas A." last="Nagel">Thomas A. 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La Coruña km. 7.5, 28040 Madrid, Spain</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Espagne</country><wicri:regionArea>INIA-CIFOR, Ctra. La Coruña km. 7.5, 28040 Madrid</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region nuts="2" type="communauté">Communauté de Madrid</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Peltoniemi, Mikko" sort="Peltoniemi, Mikko" uniqKey="Peltoniemi M" first="Mikko" last="Peltoniemi">Mikko Peltoniemi</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="A5">Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Management and Production of Renewable Resources, Latokartanonkaari 9, 00790 Helsinki, Finland</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Finlande</country><wicri:regionArea>Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Management and Production of Renewable Resources, Latokartanonkaari 9, 00790 Helsinki</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>00790 Helsinki</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Vacchiano, Giorgio" sort="Vacchiano, Giorgio" uniqKey="Vacchiano G" first="Giorgio" last="Vacchiano">Giorgio Vacchiano</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="A6">DISAFA, University of Torino, Largo Braccini 2, 10095 Grugliasco (TO), Italy</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Italie</country><wicri:regionArea>DISAFA, University of Torino, Largo Braccini 2, 10095 Grugliasco (TO)</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>10095 Grugliasco (TO)</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wild, Jan" sort="Wild, Jan" uniqKey="Wild J" first="Jan" last="Wild">Jan Wild</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="A7">Institute of Botany, The Czech Academy of Sciences, Zámek 1, CZ-252 43 Průhonice, Czech Republic</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">République tchèque</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute of Botany, The Czech Academy of Sciences, Zámek 1, CZ-252 43 Průhonice</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>CZ-252 43 Průhonice</wicri:noRegion></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="A8">Faculty of Environmental Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Kamýcká 129, CZ-165 21 Praha 6 – Suchdol, Czech Republic</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">République tchèque</country><wicri:regionArea>Faculty of Environmental Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Kamýcká 129, CZ-165 21 Praha 6 – Suchdol</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>CZ-165 21 Praha 6 – Suchdol</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Ascoli, Davide" sort="Ascoli, Davide" uniqKey="Ascoli D" first="Davide" last="Ascoli">Davide Ascoli</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="A9">Dipartimento di Agraria, University of Naples Federico II, via Università 100, 80055 Portici, Napoli, Italy</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Italie</country><wicri:regionArea>Dipartimento di Agraria, University of Naples Federico II, via Università 100, 80055 Portici, Napoli</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Napoli</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Petr, Michal" sort="Petr, Michal" uniqKey="Petr M" first="Michal" last="Petr">Michal Petr</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="A10">Forest Research, Forestry Commission, Northern Research Station, Roslin EH25 9SY, UK</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>Forest Research, Forestry Commission, Northern Research Station, Roslin EH25 9SY</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Roslin EH25 9SY</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Honkaniemi, Juha" sort="Honkaniemi, Juha" uniqKey="Honkaniemi J" first="Juha" last="Honkaniemi">Juha Honkaniemi</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="A5">Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Management and Production of Renewable Resources, Latokartanonkaari 9, 00790 Helsinki, Finland</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Finlande</country><wicri:regionArea>Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Management and Production of Renewable Resources, Latokartanonkaari 9, 00790 Helsinki</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>00790 Helsinki</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Lexer, Manfred J" sort="Lexer, Manfred J" uniqKey="Lexer M" first="Manfred J." last="Lexer">Manfred J. Lexer</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:aff id="A1">Institute of Silviculture, Department of Forest and Soil Sciences, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences (BOKU) Vienna, Peter Jordan Straße 82, 1190 Wien, Austria</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Autriche</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute of Silviculture, Department of Forest and Soil Sciences, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences (BOKU) Vienna, Peter Jordan Straße 82, 1190 Wien</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="land" nuts="2">Vienne (Autriche)</region><settlement type="city">Vienne (Autriche)</settlement></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Trotsiuk, Volodymyr" sort="Trotsiuk, Volodymyr" uniqKey="Trotsiuk V" first="Volodymyr" last="Trotsiuk">Volodymyr Trotsiuk</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="A11">Department of Forest Ecology, Faculty of Forestry and Wood Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences, Kamýcká 129, CZ-165 21 Praha 6 – Suchdol, Czech Republic</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">République tchèque</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Forest Ecology, Faculty of Forestry and Wood Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences, Kamýcká 129, CZ-165 21 Praha 6 – Suchdol</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>CZ-165 21 Praha 6 – Suchdol</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Mairota, Paola" sort="Mairota, Paola" uniqKey="Mairota P" first="Paola" last="Mairota">Paola Mairota</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="A12">Department of Agri-Environmental and Territorial Sciences, University of Bari “Aldo Moro”, via Amendola 165/A, 70126 Bari, Italy</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Italie</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Agri-Environmental and Territorial Sciences, University of Bari “Aldo Moro”, via Amendola 165/A, 70126 Bari</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>70126 Bari</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Svoboda, Miroslav" sort="Svoboda, Miroslav" uniqKey="Svoboda M" first="Miroslav" last="Svoboda">Miroslav Svoboda</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="A11">Department of Forest Ecology, Faculty of Forestry and Wood Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences, Kamýcká 129, CZ-165 21 Praha 6 – Suchdol, Czech Republic</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">République tchèque</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Forest Ecology, Faculty of Forestry and Wood Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences, Kamýcká 129, CZ-165 21 Praha 6 – Suchdol</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>CZ-165 21 Praha 6 – Suchdol</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Fabrika, Marek" sort="Fabrika, Marek" uniqKey="Fabrika M" first="Marek" last="Fabrika">Marek Fabrika</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="A13">Department of Forest Management and Geodesy, Technical University in Zvolen, T. G. Masaryka 24, Zvolen 96053, Slovakia</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Slovaquie</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Forest Management and Geodesy, Technical University in Zvolen, T. G. Masaryka 24, Zvolen 96053</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Zvolen 96053</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Nagel, Thomas A" sort="Nagel, Thomas A" uniqKey="Nagel T" first="Thomas A." last="Nagel">Thomas A. Nagel</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="A11">Department of Forest Ecology, Faculty of Forestry and Wood Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences, Kamýcká 129, CZ-165 21 Praha 6 – Suchdol, Czech Republic</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">République tchèque</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Forest Ecology, Faculty of Forestry and Wood Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences, Kamýcká 129, CZ-165 21 Praha 6 – Suchdol</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>CZ-165 21 Praha 6 – Suchdol</wicri:noRegion></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="A14">Department of Forestry and Renewable Forest Resources, Biotechnical Faculty, University of Ljubljana, Večna pot 83, Ljubljana 1000, Slovenia</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Slovénie</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Forestry and Renewable Forest Resources, Biotechnical Faculty, University of Ljubljana, Večna pot 83, Ljubljana 1000</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Ljubljana 1000</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Reyer, Christopher P O" sort="Reyer, Christopher P O" uniqKey="Reyer C" first="Christopher P. O." last="Reyer">Christopher P. O. Reyer</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:aff id="A15">Potsdam-Institute for Climate Impact Research, PO Box 60 12 03, D-14412 Potsdam, Germany</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Allemagne</country><wicri:regionArea>Potsdam-Institute for Climate Impact Research, PO Box 60 12 03, D-14412 Potsdam</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="land" nuts="2">Brandebourg</region><settlement type="city">Potsdam</settlement></placeName></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">Nature climate change</title><idno type="ISSN">1758-678X</idno><idno type="eISSN">1758-6798</idno><imprint><date when="2017">2017</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p id="P1">Forest disturbances are sensitive to climate. However, our understanding of disturbance dynamics in response to climatic changes remains incomplete, particularly regarding large-scale patterns, interaction effects and dampening feedbacks. Here we provide a global synthesis of climate change effects on important abiotic (fire, drought, wind, snow and ice) and biotic (insects and pathogens) disturbance agents. Warmer and drier conditions particularly facilitate fire, drought and insect disturbances, while warmer and wetter conditions increase disturbances from wind and pathogens. Widespread interactions between agents are likely to amplify disturbances, while indirect climate effects such as vegetation changes can dampen long-term disturbance sensitivities to climate. Future changes in disturbance are likely to be most pronounced in coniferous forests and the boreal biome. We conclude that both ecosystems and society should be prepared for an increasingly disturbed future of forests.</p></div></front></TEI><affiliations><list><country><li>Allemagne</li><li>Autriche</li><li>Espagne</li><li>Finlande</li><li>Italie</li><li>Royaume-Uni</li><li>République tchèque</li><li>Slovaquie</li><li>Slovénie</li><li>Suisse</li></country><region><li>Brandebourg</li><li>Communauté de Madrid</li><li>Vienne (Autriche)</li></region><settlement><li>Potsdam</li><li>Vienne (Autriche)</li></settlement></list><tree><country name="Autriche"><region name="Vienne (Autriche)"><name sortKey="Seidl, Rupert" sort="Seidl, Rupert" uniqKey="Seidl R" first="Rupert" last="Seidl">Rupert Seidl</name></region><name sortKey="Lexer, Manfred J" sort="Lexer, Manfred J" uniqKey="Lexer M" first="Manfred J." last="Lexer">Manfred J. Lexer</name><name sortKey="Thom, Dominik" sort="Thom, Dominik" uniqKey="Thom D" first="Dominik" last="Thom">Dominik Thom</name></country><country name="Allemagne"><noRegion><name sortKey="Kautz, Markus" sort="Kautz, Markus" uniqKey="Kautz M" first="Markus" last="Kautz">Markus Kautz</name></noRegion><name sortKey="Reyer, Christopher P O" sort="Reyer, Christopher P O" uniqKey="Reyer C" first="Christopher P. O." last="Reyer">Christopher P. O. Reyer</name></country><country name="Suisse"><noRegion><name sortKey="Martin Benito, Dario" sort="Martin Benito, Dario" uniqKey="Martin Benito D" first="Dario" last="Martin-Benito">Dario Martin-Benito</name></noRegion></country><country name="Espagne"><region name="Communauté de Madrid"><name sortKey="Martin Benito, Dario" sort="Martin Benito, Dario" uniqKey="Martin Benito D" first="Dario" last="Martin-Benito">Dario Martin-Benito</name></region></country><country name="Finlande"><noRegion><name sortKey="Peltoniemi, Mikko" sort="Peltoniemi, Mikko" uniqKey="Peltoniemi M" first="Mikko" last="Peltoniemi">Mikko Peltoniemi</name></noRegion><name sortKey="Honkaniemi, Juha" sort="Honkaniemi, Juha" uniqKey="Honkaniemi J" first="Juha" last="Honkaniemi">Juha Honkaniemi</name></country><country name="Italie"><noRegion><name sortKey="Vacchiano, Giorgio" sort="Vacchiano, Giorgio" uniqKey="Vacchiano G" first="Giorgio" last="Vacchiano">Giorgio Vacchiano</name></noRegion><name sortKey="Ascoli, Davide" sort="Ascoli, Davide" uniqKey="Ascoli D" first="Davide" last="Ascoli">Davide Ascoli</name><name sortKey="Mairota, Paola" sort="Mairota, Paola" uniqKey="Mairota P" first="Paola" last="Mairota">Paola Mairota</name></country><country name="République tchèque"><noRegion><name sortKey="Wild, Jan" sort="Wild, Jan" uniqKey="Wild J" first="Jan" last="Wild">Jan Wild</name></noRegion><name sortKey="Nagel, Thomas A" sort="Nagel, Thomas A" uniqKey="Nagel T" first="Thomas A." last="Nagel">Thomas A. Nagel</name><name sortKey="Svoboda, Miroslav" sort="Svoboda, Miroslav" uniqKey="Svoboda M" first="Miroslav" last="Svoboda">Miroslav Svoboda</name><name sortKey="Trotsiuk, Volodymyr" sort="Trotsiuk, Volodymyr" uniqKey="Trotsiuk V" first="Volodymyr" last="Trotsiuk">Volodymyr Trotsiuk</name><name sortKey="Wild, Jan" sort="Wild, Jan" uniqKey="Wild J" first="Jan" last="Wild">Jan Wild</name></country><country name="Royaume-Uni"><noRegion><name sortKey="Petr, Michal" sort="Petr, Michal" uniqKey="Petr M" first="Michal" last="Petr">Michal Petr</name></noRegion></country><country name="Slovaquie"><noRegion><name sortKey="Fabrika, Marek" sort="Fabrika, Marek" uniqKey="Fabrika M" first="Marek" last="Fabrika">Marek Fabrika</name></noRegion></country><country name="Slovénie"><noRegion><name sortKey="Nagel, Thomas A" sort="Nagel, Thomas A" uniqKey="Nagel T" first="Thomas A." last="Nagel">Thomas A. Nagel</name></noRegion></country></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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